Ido Kadman's predictions for Oscar

The nominations my dear fellow PR friend, Ido Kadman, is predicting are not alphabetical.

For each category, if a movie shows up at number 1, it means I am extremely certain it will get nominated. If it's at number 2, a little less, and so on. Below I listed movies that I think will miss out on a nomination in that category. It shows you how close (or how off) I will be. If a movie I put at number 5 doesn't get in, and a movie at number 6 makes it instead, it is not as bad if the movie I predicted at number 1 or 2 didn't make it in.
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MAIN CATEGORIES:

Best Picture:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. Michael Clayton
4. Into the Wild
5. Atonement

6. The Diving Bell and Butterfly
7. Juno
8. American Gangster

Best Director:
1. Joel & Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
2. Julian Schnabel – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
3. Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
4. Sean Penn – Into the Wild
5. Joe Wright – - Atonement

6. Sidney Lumet - Before the Devil
7. Tony Gilroy – Michael Clayton
8. David Cronenberg – Eastern Promises

Best Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
2. George Clooney – Michael Clayton
3. Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises
4. Emile Hirsch – Into the Wild
5. Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd

6. James McAvoy – Atonement
7. Denzel Washington – American Gangster
8. Ryan Gosling – Lars and the Real Girl
9. Frank Langella - Starting Out in the Evening
10. Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah

Best Actress:
1. Ellen Page – Juno
2. Julie Christie - Away from Her
3. Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
4. Angelina Jolie – A Mighty Heart
5. Laura Linney – The Savages

6. Cate Blanchett – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
7. Keira Knightley - Atonement
8. Amy Adams - Enchanted


Best Supporting Actor:
1. Javier Bardem – No Country for Old Men
2. Casey Affleck – The Assassination of Jessie James
3. Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
4. Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton
5. Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men

6. Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson’s War
7. Paul Dano – There Will Be Blood
8. Max Von Sidow – The Diving Bell and Butterfly
9. Ben Foster - 3:10 to Yuma


Best Supporting Actress:
1. Amy Ryan – Gone, Baby, Gone
2. Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There
3. Catherine Keener – Into the Wild
4. Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton
5. Ruby Dee - American Gangster

6. Saiorse Ronan - Atonement
7. Jennifer Garner - Juno
8. Vanessa Redgrave – Atonement


Best Original Screenplay:
1. Juno - Diablo Cody
2. Michael Clayton - Tony Gilroy
3. Ratatouille - Brad Bird
4. The Savages - Tamara Jenkins
5. Knocked Up - Jud Apatow

6. Lars and the Real Girl (Nancy Oliver)
7. Eastern Promises (Steven Knight)
8. Before The Devil (Kelly Masterson)
9. American Gangster (Steven Zaillian)

Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. No Country for Old Men (Ethan and Joel Coen)
2. There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)
3. The Diving Bell & The Butterfly (Ronald Harwood)
4. Into the Wild (Sean Penn)
5. Zodiac (James Vanderbilt)

6. Atonement (Christopher Hampton)
7. Charlie Wilson’s War (Aaron Sorkin)
8. The Kite Runner (David Benioff)
9. Gone Baby Gone (Ben Affleck, Aaron Stockard)
10. Sweeney Todd (John Logan)


STAND ALONE CATEGORIES:

Best Foreign Film:
1. The Unknown (Italy)
2. The Counterfeiters (Austria)
3. The Year My Parents Went on Vacation (Brazil)
4. Days of Darkness (Canada)
5. 12 (Russia)

6. Beaufort (Israel)
7. The Trap (Serbia)


Best Animated Film:
1. Ratatouille
2. Persepolis
3. The Simpsons Movie

4. Beowulf
5. Surf’s Up
6. Bee Movie

Best Documentary:
1. No End in Sight
2. Sicko
3. Lake of Fire
4. Shadow of the Moon
5. Taxi to the Dark Side

6. Body of War
7. The Devil Came on Horseback


TECH CATEGORIES:

Best Editing:
1. No Country for Old Men – Roderick Jaynes
2. The Bourne Ultimatum – Christopher Rouse
3. There Will Be Blood – Dylan Tichenor
4. Into the Wild - Jay Cassidy
5. Michael Clayton – John Gilroy

6. Atonement – Paul Tothill
7. Sweeney Todd - Chris Lebenzon - (2 noms)
8. American Gangster – Pietro Scalia
9. Diving Bell - Juliette Welfing

Best Cinematography:
1. No Country for Old Men – Roger Deakins
2. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly – Janusz Kaminski
3. Atonement – Seamus McGarvey
4. There Will Be Blood – Robert Elswit
5. The Assassination of Jesse James – Roger Deakins

6. Zodiac - Harris Savides
7. American Gangster - Harris Savides
8. Into the Wild - Eric Gautier
9. Sweeney Todd - Dariusz Wolski
10. Lust, Caution - Rodrigo Prieto

Best Score:
1. Atonement – Dario Marianelli
2. Ratatouille – Michael Gianchino
3. Lust, Caution – Alexandre Desplat
4. The Kite Runner – Alberto Iglesias
5. Eastern Promises – Howard Shore

6. 3:10 to Yuma – Marco Beltrami
7. Golden Compass – Alexandre Desplat
8. The Unknown Woman - Ennio Morricone
9. Beowulf - Alan Silvestri

Best Art Direction:
1. Sweeney Todd – Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo
2. There Will Be Blood – David Crank, Jack Fisk
3. Atonement – Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
4. Elizabeth: Golden Age – Guy Dyas; Richard Roberts
5. Pirates 3 - Rick Heinrichs; Cheryl Carasik

6. The Golden Compass - Dennis Gassner; Anna Pinnock
7. 300 - James D. Bissell; Paul Hotte
8. Harry Potter 5 - Stuart Craig; Stephanie McMillan
9. American Gangster – Arthur Max


Best Costume Design:
1. Elizabeth: The Golden Age – Alexandra Byrne
2. Sweeney Todd – Coleen Atwood
3. Atonement – Jacqueline Durran
4. 300 - Michael Wilkinson
5. La Vie En Rose - Marit Allen

6. 3:10 to Yuma – Arianne Phillips
7. The Golden Compass – Ruth Myers
8. Lust, Caution – Pan Lai
9. The Assassination of Jesse James – Patricia Norris
10. There Will Be Blood – Mark Bridges

Best Makeup:
1. La Vie En Rose
2. 300
3. Sweeney Todd

4. Diving Bell & Butterlfy
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
6. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
7. Norbit

Best Song
1. Into the Wild - "Guaranteed"
2. American Gangster - "Do You Feel Me"
3. Hairspray - "Come So Far (Got So Far to Go)"
4. Enchanted - "That's How You Know"
5. Ratatouille – “Le Festin”

6. Once – “Falling Slowly"
7. Into the Wild – “Society”
8. Enchanted – “So Close”
9. Beowulf - "A Hero Comes Home"
10. Once – “If You Want Me”

Best Sound Editing:
1. Transformers
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 3
3. 300
4. Beowulf
5. The Bourne Ultimatum

6. Ratatouille
7. 3:10 to Yuma
8. The Golden Compass

Best Sound Mixing:
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. Transformers
3. No Country For Old Men

4. 300
5. Into the Wild
6. Sweeney Todd
7. Pirates 3

Best Visual Effects:
1. Transformers
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
3. I Am Legend

4. The Golden Compass
5. 300


TOTALS:
No Country for Old Men: 9 nominations
Into the Wild: 8 nominations
There Will Be Blood: 7 nominations
Atonement: 6 nominations
Michael Clayton: 6 nominations
The Diving Bell & The Butterfly: 3 nominations
Juno: 2 nominations
Eastern Promises: 2 nominations
Sweeney Todd: 4 nominations
American Gangster: 2 nominations
Pirates of the Caribbean 3: 3 nominations
300: 3 nominations
The Bourne Ultimatum: 3 nominations

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